Oil rises 1% on signs of tightening supplies
Oil rises 1% on signs of tightening supplies
Oil rises 1% on signs of tightening supplies
– By Daniel Terungwa

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Oil rises 1% on signs of tightening supplies

Oil prices climbed by 1% on Wednesday amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and evaluations of imminent supply constraints.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) surged by 87 cents, or 1.1%, settling at $77.91 per barrel, while Brent crude increased by 69 cents, or 0.8%, reaching $83.03 per barrel.

Contracts tied to short-term deliveries have consistently traded at a significant premium compared to longer-dated contracts in recent months, reflecting a market structure known as backwardation, indicating tight supply conditions.

“Timespreads are showing markets tightening,” commented UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, noting declines in crude stocks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp trading hub and reductions in product stocks in Fujairah last week.

Further bolstering the market, U.S. refineries are exhibiting signs of emerging from maintenance after operating at their lowest rates since December 2022, leading to increases in crude stockpiles.

Alex Hodes, energy analyst at StoneX.
Alex Hodes, energy analyst at StoneX.
“Recent refinery outages led to some crude oil builds across the globe but these could be coming back online, which will put pressure on crack spreads and could support more crude usage,” said Alex Hodes, energy analyst at StoneX.
Analysts expect U.S. refinery runs to have risen by 0.9 percentage point last week from 80.6% of total capacity in the previous week, according to a Reuters poll. U.S. crude stocks likely rose last week by nearly 4 million barrels last week, the poll showed.
Figures from the American Petroleum Institute showed a larger 7.17 million barrel build in U.S. crude stocks, market sources said.
Official data from the Energy Information Administration is due at 11 a.m. ET on Thursday, delayed a day by Monday’s U.S. holiday.
Houthi attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab strait have continued to stoke concerns over freight flows through the critical waterway. Drone and missile strikes have hit at least four vessels since last Friday.
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