Oil Prices Surge Amid Disruption Concerns Following Latest Red Sea Attack
Oil prices experienced an increase in the first session of the new year, driven by potential supply disruptions in the Middle East following the latest attack on a container ship in the Red Sea. Additionally, hopes for increased Chinese demand contributed to the positive momentum.
As of the report, Brent crude rose by 49 cents, or 0.6%, reaching $77.53 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude increased by 36 cents, or 0.5%, to $72.01. Earlier trading saw both benchmarks gaining around $2. The market reacts to geopolitical concerns and expectations for continued demand from major consumers like China.
According to an economist and expert survey conducted by Reuters, the average price of Brent crude is forecast to be $82.56 a barrel this year, a little higher than the $82.17 average in 2023, as poor global growth is anticipated to limit demand. However, price support may come from geopolitical issues.
With the help of U.S. helicopters, Houthi troops backed by Iran launched an attack on a Maersk cargo ship in the Red Sea on Sunday. The attack resulted in the sinking of three Houthi vessels and the deaths of ten terrorists, increasing the likelihood that the Israel-Hamas war may spread.
Following the incident, a representative for Danish shipper Maersk stated that the business would decide on Tuesday whether to send ships via the Red Sea and the Suez Canal again or reroute them around Africa.
“Major drivers will continue to be geopolitics and the extent of economic growth,” John Paisie, president of Stratas Advisors, said of oil prices for the coming year.
“The Israeli-Hamas has the potential to escalate and expand – and to increase the risk premium.”
Further fighting might shut down important canals used to transport oil.
According to ship monitoring data, at least four tankers circumnavigate Africa to avoid the Red Sea, transporting diesel and jet fuel from the Middle East and India to Europe.
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After manufacturing activity declined for a third consecutive month in December, according to government statistics released on Sunday, market expectations of new economic stimulus measures in China increased.
Such an incentive might increase the oil market and sustain crude prices.